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Saturday, April 18, 2009

Types of Risk

Investment risk falls into a number of categories. But bear in mind that any one investment can be subject to more than one type of risk.

Inflation Risk
Inflation risk refers to the loss of value in your investment caused by increasing depreciation of the currency. A constant rate of inflation, even if is high, is not risky. When you purchase a long-term bond, for instance, the price of the bond, and therefore its yield, already reflects the current inflation rate.
Rather, it is a rise in the inflation rate that is the source of risk. For example, you buy a long-term bond when inflation is low. If the inflation rate rises, both your bond’s resale value and the value of the interest you receive will decline. After all, the same Ghana Cedi or Dollar is worth less when inflation is high than when it is low.

Deflation Risk
Deflation risk is, not surprisingly, just the opposite of inflation risk. It is the risk that the value of our asset will decline when general prices levels fall during periods of severe recession or depression. Land that you buy during boom times, for instance, may lose value during a serious recession.

Business Risk
Business risk refers to the chance that some event might occur that reduces or destroys a particular investment’s return. For example, you might buy stock in a company that has perfected a pill to cure the common cold. Than a competitor develops a vaccine that prevents cold entirely. Your company’s product becomes obsolete.
Business risk can be more widespread – and more difficult to control. For example, changes in government policy, war, or erratic weather could suddenly wipe out the profits of the cruise ship company whose stock you just bought.

Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk is the decline in market value that occurs when the interest rate on new, similar investments rises. For example, you buy a five-year corporate bond paying 8 percent interest. The next year rates rise, and the same five-year bond fetches 10 percent interest. The value of your bond declines.

Market Risk
Market risks refer to the chance that an entire financial market may suffer a decline. Say you buy stock or shares in a prosperous company, but the entire stock market falls sharply in value as it did this year (2009) in Ghana, the US, UK and across the world. Your company is still doing well, but investors are wary of stocks and shares in general, so the price of stock or shares you bought drops.

Illiquidity risk
Illiquidity risk refers to the loss you might have if you’re forced to sell an investment before you had panned. Perhaps you have an unexpected medical expense and much sell some real estates in a hurry to raise the cash. You’ll have to take what the market will give you for your property, because you can’t wait for a better price.

The question, now that you know what the different risks are, is what you can do about them. The answer, in a word: diversify!Diversification will be the focus on my next post

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